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. 1992 Fall;14(1):1-29.

National health expenditures projections through 2030

S T Burner  1 , D R Waldo, D R McKusick
Affiliations

National health expenditures projections through 2030

S T Burner et al. Health Care Financ Rev. 1992 Fall.

Abstract

If current laws and practices continue, health expenditures in the United States will reach $1.7 trillion by the year 2000, an amount equal to 18.1 percent of the Nation's gross domestic product (GDP). By the year 2030, as America's baby boomers enter their seventies and eighties, health spending will top $16 trillion, or 32 percent of GDP. The projections presented here incorporate the assumptions and conclusions of the Medicare trustees in their 1992 report to Congress on the status of Medicare, and the 1992 President's budget estimates of Medicaid outlays.

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Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1. Hypothetical 1990 personal health care spending under age and sex structures of 1950 and 2030
Figure 2
Figure 2. Effects of demographic change on spending for health care: 1965–2040
Figure 3
Figure 3. Old Age Survivors and Disability Insurance (OASDI) and hospital insurance (HI) cost rates as a percent of taxable payroll: Selected years 1970–2030
Figure 4
Figure 4. Percent change in national health expenditure (NHE) and gross domestic product (GDP): 1965–2030
Figure 5
Figure 5. Government expenditures for health as a percent of total government spending: 1965–2000
See this image and copyright information in PMC

References

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