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. 2000 Aug 5;321(7257):351-4.
doi: 10.1136/bmj.321.7257.351.

Impact of the Massachusetts tobacco control programme: population based trend analysis

Affiliations

Impact of the Massachusetts tobacco control programme: population based trend analysis

L Biener et al. BMJ. .

Abstract

Objective: To assess the impact of the Massachusetts tobacco control programme, which, since its start in January 1993, has spent over $200m-"the highest per capita expenditure for tobacco control in the world"-funded by an extra tax of 25 cents per pack of cigarettes.

Design: Population based trend analysis with comparison group.

Subjects: Adult residents of Massachusetts and other US states excluding California.

Main outcome measures: Per capita consumption of cigarettes as measured by states' sales tax records; prevalence of smoking in adults as measured by several population-based telephone surveys.

Results: From 1988 to 1992, decline in per capita consumption of cigarettes in Massachusetts (15%) was similar to that in the comparison states (14%), corresponding to an annual decline of 3-4% for both groups. During 1992-3, consumption continued to decline by 4% in the comparison states but dropped 12% in Massachusetts in response to the tax increase. From 1993 onward, consumption in Massachusetts showed a consistent annual decline of more than 4%, whereas in the comparison states it levelled off, decreasing by less than 1% a year. From 1992, the prevalence of adult smoking in Massachusetts has declined annually by 0.43% (95% confidence interval 0.21% to 0.66%) compared with an increase of 0. 03% (-0.06% to 0.12%) in the comparison states (P<0.001).

Conclusions: These findings show that a strongly implemented, comprehensive tobacco control programme can significantly reduce tobacco use.

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Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
Annual per capita cigarette sales (based on tax receipts for wholesale deliveries) in Massachusetts and in remaining 48 US states (excluding California)
Figure 2
Figure 2
Trends in adult smoking prevalence in Massachusetts and remaining 48 states (excluding California)

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