Ability of troponin I to predict cardiac events in patients admitted from the emergency department

Abstract

Objectives: We sought to determine the predictive ability of troponin I (TnI) in a heterogeneous group of patients with chest pain admitted from the emergency department (ED) for exclusion of myocardial infarction (MI).

Background: Previous studies in high-risk patients demonstrated that troponin elevations are associated with increased cardiac events. Little information is available on its predictive ability in more heterogeneous, lower risk patients.

Methods: Consecutive patients admitted from the ED for possible MI underwent serial myocardial marker sampling of TnI and creatine kinase, CK-MB over an 8-h period. Patients with ST segment elevation were excluded. End points included MI, death, significant complications (e.g., cardiac or respiratory arrest, intra-aortic balloon pump, pulmonary artery catheter or pacemaker placement, revascularization or inotropic infusion) and significant disease.

Results: Events occurred in 513 (27%) of the 1,929 patients evaluated: MI in 175 (9.1%) and death in 34 (1.8%); an additional 248 patients (13%) without MI had complications, and 323 (17%) without MI had significant disease. Sensitivity of TnI for MI was high (96%). Patients without MI who were TnI-positive were more likely to have complications (43% vs. 12%) or significant disease (41% vs. 17%) as compared with those who were TnI-negative; however, the sensitivity of TnI for these two end points was low (14% and 21%, respectively). Predictive values were unchanged after excluding patients with ischemic electrocardiograms.

Conclusions: Troponin I had a high sensitivity for MI when used as part of a rapid rule-in protocol; however, the sensitivity for other end points was low. Use of TnI alone failed to identify the majority of patients who had either significant disease or complications.