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Review
. 2001 Jul-Sep;33(3):203-11.
doi: 10.1080/02791072.2001.10400567.

Using trend theory to explain heroin use trends

M Agar  1 , H S Reisinger
Affiliations
Review

Using trend theory to explain heroin use trends

M Agar et al. J Psychoactive Drugs. 2001 Jul-Sep.

Abstract

Trend theory is an effort to integrate histories of populations and distribution systems to explain the key epidemiological question: why do these people in this place at this time experience a rapid increase in heroin use? The theory grew out of work on heroin trends in the Baltimore metropolitan area, specifically on epidemics among urban African-Americans in the 1960s and among suburban white youth in the 1990s. This overview represents trend theory as an instance of agent-based adaptive models characteristic of complexity theory.

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