Abstract

PIP: A researcher used data on 2145 15-50 year old ever married women from a 1985 fertility survey in Bendel State, Nigeria to estimate fertility response to own child survival. For 35-50 year old women, fertility fell steadily with higher levels of education even when she controlled for the age education interaction. Education did not have a significant effect for younger women, however. Yet husband's education had a significant positive effect on fertility. Further the proportion of surviving children (the survival ratio) was negatively associated with fertility for all women and for all age groups, especially 25-34 year old women. The fact that the survival ratio was still negatively associated with fertility for women =or+ 35 years old suggested that women adjusted to their own experience of child mortality by the end of childbearing. Further it implied that a rise in child survival would inevitably lower fertility. The researcher then compared the fertility behavior of rural and urban women in terms of child survival. Since the survival rate was significant for rural women, it is suggested that own child survival had a considerable influence on fertility behavior. For urban women, however, it was significant perhaps because access to water did not differ much in the urban sample or account for child mortality. Own child mortality was 36.7% for rural women compared to 23.7% for urban women. The stronger reproductive response among older women and among rural women implied that behavior factors had a stronger role in the reproductive response than biological factors. These results suggested that own child mortality and community mortality may be more important than national average mortality. Further research on aggregate mortality trends and individual child survival experience and their link to individual reproductive behavior in Nigeria are needed.