Detecting relationships between physiological variables using graphical models

Abstract

In intensive care physiological variables of the critically ill are measured and recorded in short time intervals. The proper extraction and interpretation of the information contained in this flood of information can hardly be done by experience alone. Intelligent alarm systems are needed to provide suitable bedside decision support. So far there is no commonly accepted standard for detecting the actual clinical state from the patient record. We use the statistical methodology of graphical models based on partial correlations for detecting time-varying relationships between physiological variables. Graphical models provide information on the relationships among physiological variables that is helpful e.g. for variable selection. Separate analyses for different pathophysiological states show that distinct clinical states are characterized by distinct partial correlation structures. Hence, this technique can provide new insights into physiological mechanisms.