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Review
. 2003 Apr;237(4):474-82.
doi: 10.1097/01.SLA.0000059969.64262.87.

Rating the risk factors for breast cancer

Affiliations
Review

Rating the risk factors for breast cancer

S Eva Singletary. Ann Surg. 2003 Apr.

Abstract

Objective: To update and summarize evidence of risk factors for breast cancer.

Summary background data: Women who are at high risk for breast cancer have a variety of options available to them, including watchful waiting, prophylactic surgery, and chemoprevention. It is increasingly important to accurately assess a patient's risk profile to ensure that the cost/benefit ratio of the selected treatment is favorable.

Methods: Estimates of relative risk for documented risk factors were obtained from seminal papers identified in previous reviews. These estimates were updated where appropriate with data from more recent reports using large sample sizes or presenting meta-analyses of previous studies. These reports were identified from a review of the Medline database from 1992 to 2002.

Results: Risk factors that have received a great deal of publicity (hormone use, alcohol consumption, obesity, nulliparity) present a relatively modest relative risk for breast cancer (<2). Factors associated with a prior history of neoplastic disease or atypical hyperplasia and factors associated with a genetic predisposition significantly affect the risk of breast cancer, with relative risks ranging from 3 (for some cases of positive family history) to 200 (for premenopausal women positive for a BRCA mutation).

Conclusions: More precise tools, based on techniques of molecular biology such as microarray analysis, will be needed to assess individual risk for breast cancer.

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Figures

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Figure 1. Breast cancer incidence (per 100,000) as a function of age. (Data derived from SEER Cancer Statistics Review, 1973–1997. 2)
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Figure 2. Increase in relative breast cancer risk in women with biopsy-proven usual ductal hyperplasia (UDH), cytologic proliferation in nipple aspiration fluid (NAF), biopsy-proven atypical ductal hyperplasia (ADH), cytologic proliferation with atypia in NAF or fine-needle aspiration biopsy, ADH with positive family history, and cytologic proliferation with atypia (NAF) and positive family history.

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