Regional distribution of risk for childhood diabetes in Austria and possible association with body mass index

Abstract

This study was performed to investigate whether the body mass index (BMI) of diabetic children at manifestation is related to the non-random risk distribution in Austria and whether there is an association with the BMI of the background population. All newly diagnosed cases aged <15 years (n=1644) from 1989 to 2000 were allocated to districts using the postal code. BMI at the time of diagnosis was derived from the Austrian incidence data sheet in 99.3% of the registered cases. Data on BMI of the whole population >14 years of age for the year 1991 and birth weight for the years 1989-1999 were derived from Statistics Austria. Linear regression as well as ecological regression (Poisson) models with correction for non-linearity were used. BMI at diabetes manifestation was positively associated with year of diagnosis (P<0.05) and the age at diagnosis (P<0.01). An increase in BMI when moving from West to East (P<0.01) and a higher BMI at diagnosis in boys than girls (P<0.01) was observed. The ecological regression model showed a positive significant association of BMI in newborns and a positive trend of BMI in the background population with incidence rates.

Conclusion: our data support the hypothesis that obesity may be a risk factor not only for type 2 but for type 1 in children acting as an accelerator for the clinical manifestation.