Rising incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma: the role of hepatitis B and C; the impact on transplantation and outcomes

Abstract

Hepatocellular carcinoma caused by hepatitis B and hepatitis C are global scourges but are likely to peak in incidence in the next 2 decades and then decline. Universal vaccination has been effective in stemming the incidence of chronic hepatitis B and early-onset HCC in regions of high endemicity where implemented, but preventive measures in HCV are not yet available. After the attrition of older affected generations, the incidence of HCC will likely decline rapidly. While no vaccine is currently available for hepatitis C, cases are projected to peak and decline because of a marked reduction in transmission as a result of behavioral modification and safeguarding of blood supplies. Until these epidemiologic projections come to pass, management of hepatocellular carcinoma will continue to become a progressively more frequently encountered clinical challenge. Therapy for chronic hepatitis may ameliorate but will not eliminate the development of tumors. The demand for orthotopic liver transplantation will continue to climb, and palliative therapies for non-resectable cases will require studies aimed at optimization of benefit. LDLT may remain an option for high-risk patients affording tumor-free survival for some otherwise terminal patients.