Skip to main page content
U.S. flag

An official website of the United States government

Dot gov

The .gov means it’s official.
Federal government websites often end in .gov or .mil. Before sharing sensitive information, make sure you’re on a federal government site.

Https

The site is secure.
The https:// ensures that you are connecting to the official website and that any information you provide is encrypted and transmitted securely.

Access keys NCBI Homepage MyNCBI Homepage Main Content Main Navigation
. 2003 Dec;93(12):2099-104.
doi: 10.2105/ajph.93.12.2099.

Secular trends in adolescent never smoking from 1990 to 1999 in California: an age-period-cohort analysis

Xinguang Chen  1 , Guohua Li, Jennifer B Unger, Xiaowei Liu, C Anderson Johnson
Affiliations

Secular trends in adolescent never smoking from 1990 to 1999 in California: an age-period-cohort analysis

Xinguang Chen et al. Am J Public Health. 2003 Dec.

Abstract

Objectives: We analyzed age, time period, and cohort effects on trends in adolescent cigarette smoking in California from 1990 to 1999.

Methods: Data from subjects aged 12 to 17 years (n = 26 536; 50.4% male) from the California Tobacco Survey and the California Youth Tobacco Survey were analyzed, and never smokers were used as the outcome measure.

Results: The proportion of never smokers increased from 60% for males and 66% for females in 1990 to around 70% for both sexes in 1999. Respondents were more likely to be never smokers if born in 1978 or later (i.e., aged 12 years or younger in 1990, when most tobacco control programs started in California).

Conclusions: The statewide antitobacco programs prevented adolescents from starting to smoke, primarily through a cohort effect.

PubMed Disclaimer

Figures

FIGURE 1—
FIGURE 1—
Secular trends in never smoking among adolescent boys and girls aged 12 through 17 years: California, 1990–1999.
FIGURE 2—
FIGURE 2—
Estimated age, period, and cohort effects from an age–period–cohort modeling analysis of trends in adolescent never smoking in California, 1990–1999.
See this image and copyright information in PMC

Similar articles

See all similar articles

Cited by

See all "Cited by" articles

References

    1. US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Tobacco use among middle and high school students—United States, 1999. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. 2000;49:49–53. - PubMed
    1. Choi WS, Gilpin EA, Farkas AJ, Pierce JP. Determining the probability of future smoking among adolescents. Addiction. 2001;96:313–323. - PubMed
    1. Pierce JP, Gilpin EA, Emery SL, et al. Tobacco Control in California: Who’s Winning the War? An Evaluation of the Tobacco Control Program, 1989–1996. La Jolla: University of California, San Diego; 1998.
    1. Pierce JP, Gilpin EA, Emery SL, et al. Has the California tobacco control program reduced smoking? JAMA. 1998;280:893–899. - PubMed
    1. Independent Evaluation Consortium. Final Report of the Independent Evaluation of the California Tobacco Control Prevention and Education Program: Wave 1 Data, 1996–1997. Rockville, Md: The Gallup Organization; 1998.

Publication types