Mortality in England and Wales attributable to any drinking, drinking above sensible limits and drinking above lowest-risk level

Abstract

Aims: To quantify mortality attributable to any alcohol consumption, and mortality attributable to consumption above different levels.

Design: We related all-cause mortality to alcohol consumption using cause-specific mortality models from a systematic review and using the distribution of alcohol consumption and causes of death by age and sex in England and Wales in 1997. We estimated the deaths and person-years of life lost to age 65 that were attributable: to any drinking; to drinking above the nadir (the level of alcohol consumption carrying the lowest risk); and to drinking more than the British Royal Colleges' recommended limits of 21 units/week in men and 14 units/week in women.

Findings: Ischaemic heart disease deaths prevented by alcohol consumption (11 276 in men, 4050 in women) roughly balanced other deaths attributable to alcohol consumption (9246 in men, 4216 in women). Overall, 0.8% of all deaths in men were prevented by alcohol consumption (95% confidence interval, 0.2% to 1.3%), while 0.1% of all deaths in women were attributable to alcohol consumption (95% confidence interval, - 0.3% to 0.4%); 2.1% (1.9-2.3%) of all deaths in men and 0.8% (0.6-1.0%) of all deaths in women were attributable to drinking more than the recommended limits, while 2.8% and 1.2% of deaths, respectively, were attributable to drinking above the nadir. Of all person-years of life lost to age 65, 10.3% in men and 5.6% in women were attributable to any drinking; 8.5% and 4.0% were attributable to drinking above the recommended limits; and 12.6% and 6.0% were attributable to drinking above the nadir.

Conclusions: Although overall mortality risks and benefits of alcohol consumption appear roughly equal, drinking above recommended limits remains responsible for many deaths and a large loss of person-years of life.