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Review
. 2005;24 Suppl 2(Suppl 2):W5R67-76.
doi: 10.1377/hlthaff.w5.r67.

Identifying potential health care innovations for the future elderly

Paul G Shekelle  1 , Eduardo Ortiz, Sydne J Newberry, Michael W Rich, Shannon L Rhodes, Robert H Brook, Dana P Goldman
Affiliations
Review

Identifying potential health care innovations for the future elderly

Paul G Shekelle et al. Health Aff (Millwood). 2005.

Abstract

We used a method that combined literature review and expertjudgment to assess potential medical innovations for older adults. We evaluated innovations in four domains: cardiovascular disease, cancer, the biology of aging, and neurologic disease. The innovations can be categorized by common themes: improved disease prevention, better detection of subclinical or early clinical disease, and treatments for established disease. We report the likelihood, potential impact, and potential cost implications for thirty-four innovations, and we revisit this forecast five years later. Many of the innovations have the potential to greatly affect the costs and outcomes of health care.

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References

    1. For more details, see Goldman DP et al., Health Status and Medical Treatment of the Future Elderly: Final Report, Pub. no. TR-169-CMS(Santa Monica, Calif: : RAND, 2004).
    1. Ibid., for names and affiliations of the expert panel members.
    1. Ibid.
    1. The literature searches identified a total of 12,136 titles in cardiovascular disease, 2,029 titles in cancer and in the biology of aging, and 6,751 titles in neurologic diseases. Of these, 108, 213, and 78 articles (respectively) were selected as relevant, critically reviewed, and summarized in tables and text for use during the expert panel meeting.
    1. Goldman DP et al., “ Consequences of Health Trends and Medical Innovation for the Elderly of the Future, ” Health Affairs, 26 September 2005. - PMC - PubMed

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