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. 1986 Feb;83(3):536-40.
doi: 10.1073/pnas.83.3.536.

Reconstruction of the dynamics of the climatic system from time-series data

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Reconstruction of the dynamics of the climatic system from time-series data

C Nicolis et al. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 1986 Feb.

Abstract

The oxygen isotope record of the last million years, as provided by a deep sea core sediment, is analyzed by a method recently developed in the theory of dynamical systems. The analysis suggests that climatic variability is the manifestation of a chaotic dynamics described by an attractor of fractal dimensionality. A quantitative measure of the limited predictability of the climatic system is provided by the evaluation of the time-correlation function and the largest positive Lyapounov exponent of the system.

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