Skip to main page content
U.S. flag

An official website of the United States government

Dot gov

The .gov means it’s official.
Federal government websites often end in .gov or .mil. Before sharing sensitive information, make sure you’re on a federal government site.

Https

The site is secure.
The https:// ensures that you are connecting to the official website and that any information you provide is encrypted and transmitted securely.

Access keys NCBI Homepage MyNCBI Homepage Main Content Main Navigation
Comment
. 2006 Apr 11;103(15):5635-6.
doi: 10.1073/pnas.0601493103. Epub 2006 Apr 4.

Malaria risk and temperature: influences from global climate change and local land use practices

Jonathan A Patz  1 , Sarah H Olson
Affiliations
Comment

Malaria risk and temperature: influences from global climate change and local land use practices

Jonathan A Patz et al. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. .
No abstract available

PubMed Disclaimer

Conflict of interest statement

Conflict of interest statement: No conflicts declared.

Figures

Fig. 1.
Fig. 1.
Relationship between temperature and malaria parasite development time inside the mosquito (“extrinsic incubation period” or EIP). EIP shortens at higher temperatures, so mosquitoes become infectious sooner. Note the nonlinear response to temperature, as well as relative threshold limits for malaria parasite development (≈18°C and 15°C for P. falciparum, and P. vivax, respectively) (adapted from ref. 16).
Fig. 2.
Fig. 2.
Climate suitability for stable malaria transmission across the diverse topography of Zimbabwe, determined by fuzzy logic analysis and based on United Kingdom Meteorological Office (UKMO) global climate scenarios for year 2000 (Left) and with warming to the year 2050 (Right). Orange-red colors indicate more suitable climate conditions for malaria transmission. [Adapted from Ebi et al. (5) and Hartman et al. (17); maps provided by K. Ebi.]
See this image and copyright information in PMC

Comment on

References

    1. Patz J. A., Hulme M., Rosenzweig C., Mitchell T. D., Goldberg R. A., Githeko A. K., Lele S., McMichael A. J., Le Sueur D. Nature. 2002;420:627–628. - PubMed
    1. Pascual M., Ahumada J. A., Chaves L. F., Rodó X., Bouma M. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA. 2006;103:5829–5834. - PMC - PubMed
    1. Minakawa N., Sonye G., Mogi M., Githeko A., Yan G. J. Med. Entomol. 2002;39:833–841. - PubMed
    1. Bodker R., Akida J., Shayo D., Kisinza W., Msangeni H. A., Pedersen E. M., Lindsay S. W. J. Med. Entomol. 2003;40:706–717. - PubMed
    1. Ebi K. L., Hartman J., Chan N., McConnell K. J., Schlesinger M., Weyant J. Clim. Change. 2005;73:375–393.