Risk factors for mortality and intra-abdominal complications after pancreatoduodenectomy: multivariate analysis in 300 patients

Abstract

Background: Studies of risk factors after pancreatoduodenectomy are few: some concern restricted populations and others are based on administrative data.

Methods: Multicenter clinical data were collected for 300 patients undergoing pancreatoduodenectomy to determine (by univariate and multivariate analysis) preoperative and intraoperative risk factors for mortality and intra-abdominal complications (IACs), including pancreatic fistula. Fourteen factors including the center and volume effect were analyzed.

Results: In univariate analysis, mortality was increased with age 70 years or more, extended resection(s), and volume and center effects. IACs occurred more often with main pancreatic duct diameter of 3 mm or less, normal parenchyma texture, extended resection(s), and the center effect. Pancreatic fistula was more frequent with main pancreatic duct diameter of 3 mm or less, normal parenchyma texture, and the center effect. In multivariate analysis, independent risk factor(s) for mortality were age greater than 70 years (odds ratio [OR], 3; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.3-8) and extended resection (OR, 5; 95% CI, 1.2-22), risk factors for IACs were extended resection (OR, 5; 95% CI, 1.2-22) and main pancreatic duct diameter of 3 mm or less (OR, 2; 95% CI, 1.1-3), and the risk factor for pancreatic fistula was main pancreatic duct diameter of 3 mm or less (OR, 2.5; 95% CI, 1.2-4.6).

Conclusions: Age more than 70 years, extended resections, and main pancreatic duct diameter less than 3 mm are independent risk factors that should be considered in indications for and techniques of pancreatoduodenectomy.