Cost-effectiveness analysis of screening modalities for breast cancer in Japan with special reference to women aged 40-49 years

Abstract

Although the introduction of screening mammography in Japan would be expected to reduce mortality from breast cancer, the optimal screening modality in terms of cost-effectiveness remains unclear. We compared the cost-effectiveness ratio, defined as the cost required for a life-year saved, among the following three strategies: (1) annual clinical breast examination; (2) annual clinical breast examination combined with mammography; and (3) biennial clinical breast examination combined with mammography for women aged 30-79 years using a hypothetical cohort of 100 000. The sensitivity, specificity and early breast cancer rates were derived from studies conducted from 1995 to 2000 in Miyagi Prefecture. The treatment costs were based on a questionnaire survey conducted at 13 institutions in Japan. We used updated parameters that were needed in the analysis. Although the effectiveness of treatment in terms of the number of expected survival years was highest for annual combined modality, biennial combined modality had a higher cost-effectiveness ratio, followed by annual combined modality and annual clinical breast examination in all age groups. In women aged 40-49 years, annual combined modality saved 852.9 lives and the cost/survival duration was 3 394 300 yen/year, whereas for biennial combined modality the corresponding figures were 833.8 and 2 025 100 yen/year, respectively. Annual clinical breast examination did not confer any advantages in terms of effectiveness (815.5 lives saved) or cost-effectiveness (3 669 900 yen/year). While the annual combined modality was the most effective with respect to life-years saved among women aged 40-49 years, biennial combined modality was found to provide the highest cost-effectiveness.

Figure 1

Structure of the analytical model (cohorts with screening). In a theoretical cohort, 100 000 subjects participated in the first screening. Resubmitting those who did not contract breast cancer to the next screening (excluding those who died of other diseases) by simulation allows the calculation of costs and effects for participation in screening at any age (for example, from 30 to 79 years). It was assumed that 100% of subjects underwent further examination and that the sensitivity of such examinations was 100%.