[Blindness in Germany--today and in 2030]

Abstract

Due to demographic developments in Germany, it is inevitable that the number of age-related diseases will grow. The aim of this survey is to forecast the extent of this development in ophthalmology. How many people will be blind or visually impaired in 25 years from now? According to the German Federation of Blind and Visually Impaired People, the number of blind people in Germany is about 145,000 and the number of the partially sighted people can be estimated at approximately 500,000. These figures are based on the legal definitions of blindness and visual impairment, which are stricter in Germany than in other countries. Due to the ageing population, there will be one third more blind people and about 60% more new cases of blindness in 25 years time. In particular, the incidence rate of blindness due to age-related macular degeneration will rise sharply, but the number of blind people and new cases of blindness are only the top of the "iceberg". The number of people suffering from age related eye diseases in future will be even larger. This large number of future patients already should be part of health economic considerations.