Modelling the SARS epidemic by a lattice-based Monte-Carlo simulation
- PMID: 17282008
- DOI: 10.1109/IEMBS.2005.1616239
Modelling the SARS epidemic by a lattice-based Monte-Carlo simulation
Abstract
We have analyzed the SARS data and the effect of the control measure in HongKong, based on a spatial Monte-Carlo model (SEIR) with susceptibles, exposed(latent), infective, and recovered. The SARS data can be well fit by numerical simulations. The control measure is effective to decreasing the transmission by reducing the contact rate. The average value of the reproductive number is consistent with many of the previous models.
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