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. 1985 May 31;228(4703):1085-7.
doi: 10.1126/science.228.4703.1085.

A theory for el nino and the southern oscillation

M A Cane, S E Zebiak

A theory for el nino and the southern oscillation

M A Cane et al. Science. .

Abstract

A coupled atmosphere-ocean model is presented for El Niño and the Southern Oscillation that reproduces its major features, including its recurrence at irregular intervals. The interannual El Niño-Southern Oscillation cycle is maintained by deterministic interactions in the tropical Pacific region. Ocean dynamics alter sea-surface temperature, changing the atmospheric heating; the resulting changes in surface wind alter the ocean dynamics. Annually varying mean conditions largely determine the spatial pattern and temporal evolution of El Niño events.

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