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. 2007 Dec;120(6):1449-56.
doi: 10.1016/j.jaci.2007.08.037. Epub 2007 Oct 17.

CD4/CD8 T-cell ratio predicts HIV infection in infants: the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute P2C2 Study

Affiliations

CD4/CD8 T-cell ratio predicts HIV infection in infants: the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute P2C2 Study

William T Shearer et al. J Allergy Clin Immunol. 2007 Dec.

Abstract

Background: In resource-poor regions of the world, HIV virologic testing is not available.

Objective: We sought to evaluate the diagnostic usefulness of the CD4/CD8 T-cell ratio in predicting HIV infection in infants.

Methods: Data from the 3- and 9-month visits for non-breast-fed infants born to HIV-infected mothers enrolled (1990-1994) in the Pediatric Pulmonary and Cardiac Complications of Vertically Transmitted HIV Infection Study (mother-to-child transmission of HIV, 17%) were analyzed. Data from the 3-month visit for infants enrolled (1985-1996) in the Perinatal AIDS Collaborative Transmission Study (mother-to-child transmission of HIV, 18%) were used for validation.

Results: At 3 months of age, data were available on 79 HIV-infected and 409 uninfected non-breast-fed infants in the Pediatric Pulmonary and Cardiac Complications of Vertically Transmitted HIV Infection Study. The area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic curve at 3 months was higher for the CD4/CD8 ratio compared with the CD4(+) T-cell count (AUC, 0.83 and 0.75; P = .03). The mean CD4/CD8 ratio at the 3-month visit was 1.7 for HIV-infected infants and 3.0 for uninfected infants. A CD4/CD8 ratio of 2.4 at 3 months of age was almost 2.5 times more likely to occur in an HIV-infected infant compared with an uninfected infant (test sensitivity, 81%; posttest probability of HIV, 33%). Model performance in the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Perinatal AIDS Collaborative Transmission Study validation test (224 HIV-infected and 1015 uninfected 3-month-old infants) was equally good (AUC, 0.78 for CD4/CD8 ratio).

Conclusion: The CD4/CD8 T-cell ratio is a more sensitive predictor of HIV infection in infants than the CD4(+) T-cell count.

Clinical implications: The CD4/CD8 T-cell ratio can be used with caution to predict HIV infection in children.

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Conflict of interest statement

Disclosure of potential conflict of interest: The authors have declared that they have no conflict of interest.

Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
Mean CD4 cell count versus age (A) and mean CD4/CD8 ratio versus age (B) in infants born to HIV-infected mothers. In Fig 1, A, the mean CD4 cell count (in cells per microliter) at 1 week and 1, 3, 6, 9, and 12 months of age and the average rate of decrease of CD4 T-cell counts in the first year of life for HIV-infected infants and HIV-uninfected infants is shown. In Fig 1, B, similar data for CD4/CD8 ratio by HIV infection status are shown. Rates of CD4 T-cell count decrease and CD4/CD8 ratio decrease were significantly greater in HIV-infected infants compared with those seen in HIV-uninfected infants. Vertical bars, 95% CI.
Figure 2
Figure 2
Reference percentile curves for CD4/CD8 ratio by HIV status in the first 14 months of life.
Figure 3
Figure 3
ROC curves based on the P2C2 data for CD4 T-cell count and CD4/CD8 ratio. A, Three-month study visit. B, Nine-month study visit.
Figure 4
Figure 4
Predicted risk of HIV infection by CD4/CD8 ratio: P2C2 Study data versus validation (PACTS) data.

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