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Randomized Controlled Trial
. 2009 Jan;40(1):147-55.
doi: 10.1161/STROKEAHA.108.518621. Epub 2008 Oct 23.

Effect of raloxifene on stroke and venous thromboembolism according to subgroups in postmenopausal women at increased risk of coronary heart disease

Affiliations
Randomized Controlled Trial

Effect of raloxifene on stroke and venous thromboembolism according to subgroups in postmenopausal women at increased risk of coronary heart disease

Lori Mosca et al. Stroke. 2009 Jan.

Abstract

Background and purpose: Raloxifene, a selective estrogen receptor modulator, reduces risk of invasive breast cancer and osteoporosis, but the effect on risk for stroke and venous thromboembolism in different patient subgroups is not established. The purpose of this analysis was to evaluate the effect of raloxifene on the incidence of all strokes, stroke deaths, and venous thromboembolic events according to participant subgroups.

Methods: This was a secondary end point analysis of an international, randomized, placebo-controlled clinical trial of 10 101 postmenopausal women with or at increased risk of coronary heart disease followed a median of 5.6 years. Strokes, venous thromboembolic events, and deaths were adjudicated by expert centralized committees. Strokes were categorized as ischemic, hemorrhagic, or undetermined and venous thromboembolic events were subclassified.

Results: The incidences of all strokes did not differ between raloxifene (incidence rate per 100 woman-years=0.95) and placebo (incidence rate=0.86) treatment groups (P=0.30). In women assigned raloxifene versus placebo, there was a higher incidence of fatal strokes (incidence rates=0.22 and 0.15, respectively, P=0.0499) and venous thromboembolic events (incidence rates=0.39 and 0.27, respectively, P=0.02). No significant subgroup interactions were found except that there was a higher incidence of stroke associated with raloxifene use among current smokers.

Conclusions: In postmenopausal women at increased risk for coronary events, the incidences of venous thromboembolism and fatal stroke but not all strokes were higher in those assigned raloxifene versus placebo. Raloxifene's effect did not differ across subgroups, except that the risk of stroke differed by smoking status. Treatment decisions about raloxifene should be based on a balance of projected absolute risks and benefits.

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Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
Cumulative incidence rates for strokes, fatal strokes, and venous thromboembolic events.
Figure 2
Figure 2
Prespecified subgroup analyses for all strokes.
Figure 3
Figure 3
Post hoc subgroup analyses for fatal strokes.
Figure 4
Figure 4
Stroke distribution by baseline comorbidity.
Figure 5
Figure 5
Post hoc subgroup analyses for venous thromboembolic events.

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