[Prognosis of intracerebral hemorrhage with coma in a neurological critical care unit in the tropics]

Abstract

Thirty-five percent of stroke events observed in Dakar, Senegal involve hemorrhaging. Coma is a frequent revealing sign of the disease and a severe prognostic factor. Since specific therapy is unavailable in sub-Saharan Africa, only symptomatic medical treatment is proposed to most patients presenting intracerebral hemorrhage. The purpose of this longitudinal study was to evaluate prognosis and survival in patients presenting with intracerebral hemorrhage in a neurological critical care unit in Senegal. Study was conducted from April 15, 2006 to July 18, 2007 in the neurological critical unit of the Fann University Hospital Center in Dakar. Mortality and probability of survival were estimated using Kaplan Meier methods. The predictive value of factors significantly correlated with prognosis was determined by multivariate analysis using a Cox proportional hazards model. A total of 51 cases of intracerebral hemorrhage were included in this study. Mean patient age was 64 years and the sex ratio was 1.13. Median survival was 7 days and mortality in the neurological critical care unit was 80.4%. The probability of survival at days 10, 30 and 90 were 43.14%, 21.57% and 13.73% respectively. Occurrence of a complication on day 3 was shown to be an independent risk factor for early death. Intracerebral hemorrhage with coma is associated with a high mortality rate. Better primary prevention is necessary.