Skip to main page content
U.S. flag

An official website of the United States government

Dot gov

The .gov means it’s official.
Federal government websites often end in .gov or .mil. Before sharing sensitive information, make sure you’re on a federal government site.

Https

The site is secure.
The https:// ensures that you are connecting to the official website and that any information you provide is encrypted and transmitted securely.

Access keys NCBI Homepage MyNCBI Homepage Main Content Main Navigation
. 2009 Sep 9;35(3):605-629.
doi: 10.1111/j.1728-4457.2009.00298.x.

China's Below-Replacement Fertility: Recent Trends and Future Prospects

S Philip Morgan, Guo Zhigang, Sarah R Hayford

China's Below-Replacement Fertility: Recent Trends and Future Prospects

S Philip Morgan et al. Popul Dev Rev. .
No abstract available

PubMed Disclaimer

Figures

FIGURE 1
FIGURE 1. Estimates of China's period total fertility rate, 1976–2000
SOURCE: Own-children estimates from Retherford et al. (2005). Retrospective history estimates based on authors' calculations from 1997 NPRHS and 2001 NFPRHS. See text for details.
FIGURE 2
FIGURE 2. First-order births per woman cumulated over successive ages: Five-year birth cohorts, China, 1946–50 to 1981–86
SOURCE: Authors' calculations from 1997 NPRHS and 2001 NFPRHS. See text for details.
FIGURE 3
FIGURE 3. Second-order births per woman cumulated over successive ages: Five-year birth cohorts, China, 1946–50 to 1976–80
SOURCE: Authors' calculations from 1997 NPRHS and 2001 NFPRHS. See text for details.
FIGURE 4
FIGURE 4. Cumulative proportion of women having a third or higher-order birth: Five-year birth cohorts, China, 1946–50 to 1976–80
SOURCE: Authors' calculations from 1997 NPRHS and 2001 NFPRHS. See text for details.
FIGURE 5
FIGURE 5. Women's mean age at childbearing for first, second, and third and higher-order births, China, 1980–2000
SOURCE: Authors' calculations from 1997 NPRHS and 2001 NFPRHS. See text for details.
FIGURE 6
FIGURE 6. Estimates of TFR and tempo-adjusted TFR (TFR'), China, 1981–99
SOURCE: Authors' calculations from 1997 NPRHS and 2001 NFPRHS. See text for details.
See this image and copyright information in PMC

References

    1. Billari Francesco, Kohler Hans-Peter. Patterns of low and lowest-low fertility in Europe. Population Studies. 2004;58(2):161–176. - PubMed
    1. Blossfeld Hans-Peter., editor. Globalization, Uncertainty and Youth in Society. London; New York: Routledge; 2005.
    1. Bongaarts John. Fertility and reproductive preferences in post-transitional societies. Population and Development Review. 2001;27(Supp):260–281.
    1. Bongaarts John. The end of fertility transition in the developed world. Population and Development Review. 2002;28(3):419–443.
    1. Bongaarts John. What can fertility indicators tell us about pronatalist policy options? Vienna Yearbook of Population Research. 2008:39–55.

LinkOut - more resources