Skip to main page content
U.S. flag

An official website of the United States government

Dot gov

The .gov means it’s official.
Federal government websites often end in .gov or .mil. Before sharing sensitive information, make sure you’re on a federal government site.

Https

The site is secure.
The https:// ensures that you are connecting to the official website and that any information you provide is encrypted and transmitted securely.

Access keys NCBI Homepage MyNCBI Homepage Main Content Main Navigation
. 2010 Oct;43(5):791-9.
doi: 10.1016/j.jbi.2010.06.003. Epub 2010 Jun 15.

Chronic disease modeling and simulation software

Affiliations

Chronic disease modeling and simulation software

Jacob Barhak et al. J Biomed Inform. 2010 Oct.

Abstract

Computers allow describing the progress of a disease using computerized models. These models allow aggregating expert and clinical information to allow researchers and decision makers to forecast disease progression. To make this forecast reliable, good models and therefore good modeling tools are required. This paper will describe a new computer tool designed for chronic disease modeling. The modeling capabilities of this tool were used to model the Michigan model for diabetes. The modeling approach and its advantages such as simplicity, availability, and transparency are discussed.

PubMed Disclaimer

Figures

FIGURE 1
FIGURE 1
The Michigan model for diabetes. IGT means Impaired Glucose Tolerance, ESRD means End Stage Renal Disease, and MI means Myocardial Infarction.
FIGURE 2
FIGURE 2
Flow diagram of the Monte-Carlo simulation
FIGURE 3
FIGURE 3
An example of the project form. This form allows defining the model and population set to be used as well as simulation parameters such as the number of simulation steps and the number of repetitions. The form allows manipulating rules according to their phase in the simulation. Each phase is displayed in a different tab for the convenience of the user.

References

    1. Brennan A, Chick SE, Davies R. A taxonomy of model structures for economic evaluation of health technologies. Health Econ. 2006;15:1295–1310. DOI:10.1002/hec.1148. - PubMed
    1. Weinstein MC, O'Brien B, Hornberger J, Jackson J, Johannesson M, McCabe C, Luce BR. Principles of good practice for decision analytic modeling in health-care evaluation: report of the ISPOR Task Force on Good Research Practices–Modeling Studies. Value Health. 6:9–17. - PubMed
    2. American Diabetes Association Consensus Panel Guidelines for computer modeling of diabetes and its complications (Consensus Statement) Diabetes Care. 2004;27:2262–2265. - PubMed
    1. American Diabetes Association Consensus Panel Guidelines for computer modeling of diabetes and its complications (Consensus Statement) Diabetes Care. 2004;27:2262–2265. - PubMed
    1. The Mount Hood 4 Modeling Group Computer modeling of diabetes and its complications: a report on the Fourth Mount Hood Challenge Meeting. Diabetes Care. 2007;30:1638–1646. doi: 10.2337/dc07-9919. - PubMed
    1. Eddy DM, Schlessinger L. Archimedes: a trial-validated model of diabetes. Diabetes Care. 2003 Nov;26(11):3093–101. - PubMed

Publication types