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. 2010 Aug;99(2):124-42.
doi: 10.1097/HP.0b013e3181bbbfbd.

Fallout deposition in the Marshall Islands from Bikini and Enewetak nuclear weapons tests

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Fallout deposition in the Marshall Islands from Bikini and Enewetak nuclear weapons tests

Harold L Beck et al. Health Phys. 2010 Aug.

Abstract

Deposition densities (Bq m(-2)) of all important dose-contributing radionuclides occurring in nuclear weapons testing fallout from tests conducted at Bikini and Enewetak Atolls (1946-1958) have been estimated on a test-specific basis for 32 atolls and separate reef islands of the Marshall Islands. A complete review of various historical and contemporary data, as well as meteorological analysis, was used to make judgments regarding which tests deposited fallout in the Marshall Islands and to estimate fallout deposition density. Our analysis suggested that only 20 of the 66 nuclear tests conducted in or near the Marshall Islands resulted in substantial fallout deposition on any of the 23 inhabited atolls. This analysis was confirmed by the fact that the sum of our estimates of 137Cs deposition from these 20 tests at each atoll is in good agreement with the total 137Cs deposited as estimated from contemporary soil sample analyses. The monitoring data and meteorological analyses were used to quantitatively estimate the deposition density of 63 activation and fission products for each nuclear test, plus the cumulative deposition of 239+240Pu at each atoll. Estimates of the degree of fractionation of fallout from each test at each atoll, as well as of the fallout transit times from the test sites to the atolls were used in this analysis. The estimates of radionuclide deposition density, fractionation, and transit times reported here are the most complete available anywhere and are suitable for estimations of both external and internal dose to representative persons as described in companion papers.

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Figures

Fig. 1
Fig. 1
Upper level air mass trajectories moving W and NE away from Bikini Atoll (i.e., away from Marshall Islands, shown as gray shaded area) during the first 39 h following the POPLAR detonation as derived from archival meteorological data and simulated with the NOAA-HYSPLIT model for the day of the Hardtack I POPLAR test (7/12/58, 9.3 MT explosive yield). Note: trajectory symbols represent three h intervals.
Fig 2
Fig 2
Comparison of BRAVO, ROMEO, and YANKEE deposition densities (kBq m-2) of 137Cs at Majuro, Kwajalein, Utrik and Rongelap. Note break in Y-axis between 7 and 18 kBq m-2.
Fig. 3
Fig. 3
Percentage of total ground deposition density from BRAVO, ROMEO, and all CASTLE Series (1954) tests at 25 inhabited atolls and islands. The CASTLE series data points include the contributions from BRAVO and ROMEO as well as all other tests in that series. The abscissa represents the latitude (°N) of separate reef islands or the centroid location of atolls (except location for Kwajalein which represents the southern half of atoll at about 9.1 °N).

Comment in

References

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    1. Beck HL, Helfer IK, Bouville A, Dreicer M. Estimates of fallout in the western U.S. from Nevada weapons testing based on gummed-film monitoring data. Health Phys. 1990;59:565–570. - PubMed
    1. Bevington PR. Data Reduction and Error Analysis for the Physical Sciences. McGraw Hill; 1969.
    1. Bouville A, Beck HL. The HASL gummed-film network and its use in the reconstruction of doses resulting from nuclear weapons tests. Technology. 2000;7:355–362.
    1. Bouville A, Beck H, Simon SL. Estimation of doses from external irradiation to Marshall Islanders from nuclear testing. Health Phys. 2009 (this issue) - PubMed

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