Proof of principle: the predisposition, infection, response, organ failure sepsis staging system

Abstract

Objective: In an effort to improve upon the traditional sepsis syndrome definitions, the predisposition, infection, response, organ dysfunction (PIRO) model was proposed to better characterize sepsis. The objective of this investigation was to derive and validate a sepsis staging system based on the PIRO concept that risk stratifies patients with suspected infection.

Design: Three independent, observational, prospective cohorts were studied. A derivation cohort (n = 2,132) was used to create the PIRO score, identifying independent predictors of mortality. Individual values were assigned to create the weighted integer score for each parameter, yielding the final PIRO score. The prognostic performance was then investigated in independent internal (n = 4,618) and external (n = 1,004) validation cohorts.

Setting: Two large U.S. tertiary care centers.

Patients: Patients admitted to the hospital from the emergency department with suspected infection.

Interventions: None.

Measurements and main results: The PIRO staging system was created by combining components of predisposition (age, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, liver disease, nursing home residency, and malignancy with and without metastasis), infection (pneumonia and cellulitis), response (tachypnea, bandemia, and tachycardia), and organ dysfunction (renal, respiratory, cardiac, metabolic, and hematologic). The derived PIRO score showed stepwise increase in mortality with increasing points and high discriminatory ability with an area under the curve of 0.90 in the derivation cohort, 0.86 in internal validation, and 0.83 in external validation.

Conclusions: This study provides evidence-based support for the PIRO approach to sepsis staging. Future efforts may utilize this approach with additional parameters (e.g., genetics and novel biochemical markers) to develop further the PIRO stratification system.