Neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio predicts chemotherapy outcomes in patients with advanced colorectal cancer

Abstract

Background: Advances in the treatment of metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) in the last decade have significantly improved survival; however, simple biomarkers to predict response or toxicity have not been identified, which are applicable to all community oncology settings worldwide. The use of inflammatory markers based on differential white-cell counts, such as the neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR), may be simple and readily available biomarkers.

Methods: Clinical information and baseline laboratory parameters were available for 349 patients, from two independent cohorts, with unresectable mCRC receiving first-line palliative chemotherapy. Associations between baseline prognostic variables, including inflammatory markers such as the NLR and tumour response, progression and survival were investigated.

Results: In the training cohort, combination-agent chemotherapy (P=0.001) and NLR ≤ 5 (P=0.003) were associated with improved clinical benefit. The ECOG performance status 1 (P=0.002), NLR>5 (P=0.01), hypoalbuminaemia (P=0.03) and single-agent chemotherapy (P<0.0001) were associated with increased risk of progression. The ECOG performance status ≥ 1 (P=0.004) and NLR>5 (P=0.002) predicted worse overall survival (OS). The NLR was confirmed to independently predict OS in the validation cohort (P<0.0001). Normalisation of the NLR after one cycle of chemotherapy in a subset of patients resulted in improved progression-free survival (P=0.012).

Conclusion: These results have highlighted NLR as a potentially useful clinical biomarker of systemic inflammatory response in predicting clinically meaningful outcomes in two independent cohorts. Results of this study have also confirmed the importance of a chronic systemic inflammatory response influencing clinical outcomes in patients with mCRC.

Figure 1

The effect of cytokines in the local tumour environment and systemic organs, and the clinical manifestations of these interactions. Red arrows indicate cytokines being released from either tumour or other organ.

Figure 2

PFS according to NLR in (A) training cohort. OS according to NLR in B (training) and (C) validation cohorts of patients with mCRC treated with chemotherapy.

Figure 3

Changes in PFS (A) and OS (B) with normalisation of NLR in training cohort of mCRC treated with chemotherapy.