[The HIV epidemic in the German Federal Republic--infection epidemiology interpretation of numbers of AIDS cases]

Abstract

Statistical analysis of AIDS case data shows that the flattening out of growth rates of AIDS in the FRG are solely due to the development of case rates in some groups of homosexual men in HIV epicentres and the absence of new infections in haemophiliacs and in patients receiving blood transfusions. Development in the epicentres is interpreted as early saturation. In the other groups that now constitute one-half of the cases reported in 1989 the increase has been steady. Existing gaps in epidemiological infection control are discussed.