[Increasing number and improved survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma from 1988 to 2007: data of a German university clinic]

Abstract

Background and objectives: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) ranks sixth regarding prevalence and third regarding mortality among malignant tumours worldwide. The aim of the present study was to determine changes of clinical-epidemiological parameters and survival rates during two decades.

Patients and methods: A total of 441 consecutive patients with HCC admitted to the University Clinic Düsseldorf between January 1988 and December 2007 were included. For comparison, this time period was divided into two decades (1988 - 1997 and 1998 - 2007).

Results: The number of newly diagnosed HCCs has tripled in the years 1998 - 2007 compared to the years 1988 - 1997. HCV-associated HCCs increased from 28 % in the years 1988 - 1997 to 38 % (p < 0.05) in the years 1998 - 2007. Tumour size, Okuda and BCLC stages decreased during the observation period (both p < 0.001 and p < 0.05). Median overall survival improved during the observation period from 6 [95 % CI: 4.83 - 7.17] to 9 months ]95 % CI: 7.31 - 10.69]; p < 0.0001) as did the 1-year and 5-year survival rates from 22 % to 42 % (p < 0.019) and from 0 % to 9 % (p < 0.001), respectively. The proportion of treated patients compared to patients with best supportive care as well as the proportion of patients receiving a multimodal therapy compared to patients with a single treatment regimen increased in the second decade (55 % vs. 79 %: p < 0.005; 5.4 % vs. 23 %: p < 0.0001). Multimodal therapy was an independent predictor for prolonged survival in a multivariate analysis including Child-Pugh score, BCLC stage, tumour size, and gender (odds ratio 2,77; 95 % CI: 1.44 - 5.31).

Conclusion: Improved screening as well as broader and improved treatment options may have contributed to the increasing survival rates.