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Clinical Trial
. 2011 Sep 6;77(10):973-9.
doi: 10.1212/WNL.0b013e31822dc7a5. Epub 2011 Aug 3.

Phase II screening trial of lithium carbonate in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis: examining a more efficient trial design

Collaborators, Affiliations
Clinical Trial

Phase II screening trial of lithium carbonate in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis: examining a more efficient trial design

R G Miller et al. Neurology. .

Abstract

Objective: To use a historical placebo control design to determine whether lithium carbonate slows progression of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS).

Methods: A phase II trial was conducted at 10 sites in the Western ALS Study Group using similar dosages (300-450 mg/day), target blood levels (0.3-0.8 mEq/L), outcome measures, and trial duration (13 months) as the positive trial. However, taking riluzole was not a requirement for study entry. Placebo outcomes in patients matched for baseline features from a large database of recent clinical trials, showing stable rates of decline over the past 9 years, were used as historical controls.

Results: The mean rate of decline of the ALS Functional Rating Scale-Revised was greater in 107 patients taking lithium carbonate (-1.20/month, 95% confidence interval [CI] -1.41 to -0.98) than that in 249 control patients (-1.01/month, 95% CI -1.11 to -0.92, p = 0.04). There were no differences in secondary outcome measures (forced vital capacity, time to failure, and quality of life), but there were more adverse events in the treated group.

Conclusions: The lack of therapeutic benefit and safety concerns, taken together with similar results from 2 other recent trials, weighs against the use of lithium carbonate in patients with ALS. The absence of drift over time and the availability of a large database of patients for selecting a matched historical control group suggest that use of historical controls may result in more efficient phase II trials for screening putative ALS therapeutic agents.

Classification of evidence: This study provided Class IV evidence that lithium carbonate does not slow the rate of decline of function in patients with ALS over 13 months.

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Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1. Flow chart
The disposition of subjects in the study, including the number screened, enrolled, failed, early terminated (ET), and completed. AE = adverse event.
Figure 2
Figure 2. ALS Functional Rating Scale–Revised (ALSFRS-R) slopes during the first 6 months of follow-up by study group
Study groups are the following: Western ALS Study Group (WALS) LI = WALS lithium (n = 107), Northeast ALS Consortium (NEALS) LI = NEALS lithium (n = 39), NEALS Crea = NEALS creatine placebo (n = 45), NEALS Celb = NEALS Celebrex placebo (n = 95), TCH = Novartis TCH346 assigned placebo (n = 108), WALS Mino = minocycline control (n = 249), QALS = QALS coenzyme Q10 placebo (n = 75), and NEALS Pl = NEALS lithium placebo (n = 44). Each dot represents the slope of one patient. Only patients with symptom duration ≤3 years and initial forced vital capacity ≥75% are included. Small red bar indicates median slope for the study group. Slopes are limited to the first 6 months follow-up because that was the maximum for the NEALS creatine and lithium trials. Data are listed in chronologic order.
Figure 3
Figure 3. Survival comparison
Kaplan-Meier survival curve of time to failure of lithium (red) vs placebo (blue).

Comment in

References

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