Prevalence and progression of chronic kidney disease after renal transplantation

Abstract

Background: We studied the prevalence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and its progression after kidney transplantation.

Methods: We retrospectively analyzed the evolution of renal graft function, as estimated by the Cockcroft-Gault equation in 567 patients. CKD was classified in accordance with the National Kidney Foundation/Kidney Disease Outcome Quality Initiative with progression estimated by calculating the slope over time.

Results: Creatinine clearance (CrCL) at 1 year after transplantation was 57.8 ± 15.5 mL/min with 61.9% patients presenting de novo chronic renal failure. The 1-year-CrCl provided the best correlation with the 3-year CrCl (R(2) = 0.58; P < .001). Medians of slope (MS) among all patients was -2.38 ± 5.7 mL/min/y (-11.9 mL/min over 5 years). Patients who reached a CrCl < 60 at 1 year after transplantation showed a MS of -3.92 ± 6.5, while the others, -2.03 ± 5.2 mL/min/y (P = .046). Similarly, patients who reached a CrCL < 60 at 3 years after transplantation displayed a MS of -1.49 ± 3.5 mL/min/y, while the others, 0.62 ± 3.0 mL/min/y (P < .001).

Conclusions: The majority of renal transplant patients present de novo chronic renal failure already at 1 year posttransplantation. The rate of graft functional deterioration was 2.38 mL/min/y. It was worse among patients who displayed a CrCL less than 60 mL/min both at 1 and at 3 years. One-year CrCL was a good marker for 3-year CrCL.