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. 2011 Nov;101(11):2068-79.
doi: 10.2105/AJPH.2011.300181. Epub 2011 Sep 22.

Future infectious disease threats to Europe

Jonathan E Suk  1 , Jan C Semenza
Affiliations

Future infectious disease threats to Europe

Jonathan E Suk et al. Am J Public Health. 2011 Nov.

Abstract

We examined how different drivers of infectious disease could interact to threaten control efforts in Europe. We considered projected trends through 2020 for 3 broad groups of drivers: globalization and environmental change, social and demographic change, and health system capacity. Eight plausible infectious disease threats with the potential to be significantly more problematic than they are today were identified through an expert consultation: extensively drug-resistant bacteria, vector-borne diseases, sexually transmitted infections, food-borne infections, a resurgence of vaccine-preventable diseases, health care-associated infections, multidrug-resistant tuberculosis, and pandemic influenza. Preemptive measures to be taken by the public health community to counteract these threats were identified.

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Figures

FIGURE 1
FIGURE 1
Interactions between disease drivers and scenarios: European Union. Note. Infectious disease drivers are grouped into 3 categories and connected to the 8 scenarios developed in the expert consultation. The connections shown reflect those used to develop the scenarios, but they are by no means a comprehensive network of possible interactions between drivers and disease scenarios.
See this image and copyright information in PMC

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