An epidemiological reappraisal of the familial aggregation of prostate cancer: a meta-analysis

Abstract

Studies on familial aggregation of cancer may suggest an overall contribution of inherited genes or a shared environment in the development of malignant disease. We performed a meta-analysis on familial clustering of prostate cancer. Out of 74 studies reporting data on familial aggregation of prostate cancer in unselected populations retrieved by a Pubmed search and browsing references, 33 independent studies meeting the inclusion criteria were used in the analysis performed with the random effects model. The pooled rate ratio (RR) for first-degree family history, i.e. affected father or brother, is 2.48 (95% confidence interval: 2.25-2.74). The incidence rate for men who have a brother who got prostate cancer increases 3.14 times (CI:2.37-4.15), and for those with affected father 2.35 times (CI:2.02-2.72). The pooled estimate of RR for two or more affected first-degree family members relative to no history in father and in brother is 4.39 (CI:2.61-7.39). First-degree family history appears to increase the incidence rate of prostate cancer more in men under 65 (RR:2.87, CI:2.21-3.74), than in men aged 65 and older (RR:1.92, CI:1.49-2.47), p for interaction = 0.002. The attributable fraction among those having an affected first-degree relative equals to 59.7% (CI:55.6-63.5%) for men at all ages, 65.2% (CI:57.7-71.4%) for men younger than 65 and 47.9% (CI:37.1-56.8%) for men aged 65 or older. For those with a family history in 2 or more first-degree family members 77.2% (CI:65.4-85.0%) of prostate cancer incidence can be attributed to the familial clustering. Our combined estimates show strong familial clustering and a significant effect-modification by age meaning that familial aggregation was associated with earlier disease onset (before age 65).

Figure 1. Rate ratio of prostate cancer for first-degree family history, i.e. affected father or brother relative to no first-degree family history.

Estimates from the case-control studies are presented at the top. They are separated from the estimates from the cohort-based studies with a line break.

Figure 2. Rate ratio of prostate cancer for a history of prostate cancer in father.

Estimates from the case-control studies are presented at the top. They are separated from the estimates from the cohort studies with a line break.

Figure 3. Rate ratio of prostate cancer for a history of prostate cancer in brother(s).

Estimates from the case-control studies are presented at the top. They are separated from the estimates from the cohort studies with a line break.

Figure 4. Funnel plot for affected first-degree relatives.

The study of Suzuki et al., which may be subject to publication bias, is indicated with a square.