Risk factor changes for sudden infant death syndrome after initiation of Back-to-Sleep campaign

Abstract

Objective: To test the hypothesis that the profile of sudden infant death syndrome (SIDS) changed after the Back-to-Sleep (BTS) campaign initiation, document prevalence and patterns of multiple risks, and determine the age profile of risk factors.

Methods: The San Diego SIDS/Sudden Unexplained Death in Childhood Research Project recorded risk factors for 568 SIDS deaths from 1991 to 2008 based upon standardized death scene investigations and autopsies. Risks were divided into intrinsic (eg, male gender) and extrinsic (eg, prone sleep).

Results: Between 1991-1993 and 1996-2008, the percentage of SIDS infants found prone decreased from 84.0% to 48.5% (P < .001), bed-sharing increased from 19.2% to 37.9% (P < .001), especially among infants <2 months (29.0% vs 63.8%), prematurity rate increased from 20.0% to 29.0% (P = .05), whereas symptoms of upper respiratory tract infection decreased from 46.6% to 24.8% (P < .001). Ninety-nine percent of SIDS infants had at least 1 risk factor, 57% had at least 2 extrinsic and 1 intrinsic risk factor, and only 5% had no extrinsic risk. The average number of risks per SIDS infant did not change after initiation of the BTS campaign.

Conclusions: SIDS infants in the BTS era show more variation in risk factors. There was a consistently high prevalence of both intrinsic and especially extrinsic risks both before and during the Back-to-Sleep era. Risk reduction campaigns emphasizing the importance of avoiding multiple and simultaneous SIDS risks are essential to prevent SIDS, including among infants who may already be vulnerable.

FIGURE 1

The triple-risk model for SIDS. Factors contributing to the vulnerability (bottom left circle) may include intrinsic risk factors. The exogenous stressors (bottom right circle) are the extrinsic risk factors for SIDS.

FIGURE 2

SIDS rate per 1000 births by year in San Diego County, California. The SIDS rate was calculated as the ratio of the number of SIDS deaths (San Diego Medical Examiner’s Office) to the number of live births in San Diego County (California Department of Public Health Birth Records). The BTS campaign in the United States began in 1994.