Plasma HDL cholesterol and risk of myocardial infarction: a mendelian randomisation study
- PMID: 22607825
- PMCID: PMC3419820
- DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(12)60312-2
Plasma HDL cholesterol and risk of myocardial infarction: a mendelian randomisation study
Erratum in
- Lancet. 2012 Aug 11;380(9841):564
Abstract
Background: High plasma HDL cholesterol is associated with reduced risk of myocardial infarction, but whether this association is causal is unclear. Exploiting the fact that genotypes are randomly assigned at meiosis, are independent of non-genetic confounding, and are unmodified by disease processes, mendelian randomisation can be used to test the hypothesis that the association of a plasma biomarker with disease is causal.
Methods: We performed two mendelian randomisation analyses. First, we used as an instrument a single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) in the endothelial lipase gene (LIPG Asn396Ser) and tested this SNP in 20 studies (20,913 myocardial infarction cases, 95,407 controls). Second, we used as an instrument a genetic score consisting of 14 common SNPs that exclusively associate with HDL cholesterol and tested this score in up to 12,482 cases of myocardial infarction and 41,331 controls. As a positive control, we also tested a genetic score of 13 common SNPs exclusively associated with LDL cholesterol.
Findings: Carriers of the LIPG 396Ser allele (2·6% frequency) had higher HDL cholesterol (0·14 mmol/L higher, p=8×10(-13)) but similar levels of other lipid and non-lipid risk factors for myocardial infarction compared with non-carriers. This difference in HDL cholesterol is expected to decrease risk of myocardial infarction by 13% (odds ratio [OR] 0·87, 95% CI 0·84-0·91). However, we noted that the 396Ser allele was not associated with risk of myocardial infarction (OR 0·99, 95% CI 0·88-1·11, p=0·85). From observational epidemiology, an increase of 1 SD in HDL cholesterol was associated with reduced risk of myocardial infarction (OR 0·62, 95% CI 0·58-0·66). However, a 1 SD increase in HDL cholesterol due to genetic score was not associated with risk of myocardial infarction (OR 0·93, 95% CI 0·68-1·26, p=0·63). For LDL cholesterol, the estimate from observational epidemiology (a 1 SD increase in LDL cholesterol associated with OR 1·54, 95% CI 1·45-1·63) was concordant with that from genetic score (OR 2·13, 95% CI 1·69-2·69, p=2×10(-10)).
Interpretation: Some genetic mechanisms that raise plasma HDL cholesterol do not seem to lower risk of myocardial infarction. These data challenge the concept that raising of plasma HDL cholesterol will uniformly translate into reductions in risk of myocardial infarction.
Funding: US National Institutes of Health, The Wellcome Trust, European Union, British Heart Foundation, and the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research.
Copyright © 2012 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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Comment in
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Mendelian randomisation, lipids, and cardiovascular disease.Lancet. 2012 Aug 11;380(9841):543-5. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(12)60481-4. Epub 2012 May 17. Lancet. 2012. PMID: 22607824 No abstract available.
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Lipids: Cardioprotective effects of HDL cholesterol called into question.Nat Rev Cardiol. 2012 Jun 5;9(7):374. doi: 10.1038/nrcardio.2012.80. Nat Rev Cardiol. 2012. PMID: 22665321 No abstract available.
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HDL and cardiovascular risk: time to call the plumber?Circ Res. 2012 Oct 12;111(9):1117-20. doi: 10.1161/CIRCRESAHA.112.280958. Circ Res. 2012. PMID: 23065341 Free PMC article.
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Plasma HDL cholesterol and risk of myocardial infarction.Lancet. 2012 Dec 8;380(9858):1989-90; author reply 1991. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(12)62147-3. Lancet. 2012. PMID: 23217857 No abstract available.
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Plasma HDL cholesterol and risk of myocardial infarction.Lancet. 2012 Dec 8;380(9858):1990-1; author reply 1991. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(12)62149-7. Lancet. 2012. PMID: 23217858 No abstract available.
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Plasma HDL cholesterol and risk of myocardial infarction.Lancet. 2012 Dec 8;380(9858):1990; author reply 1991. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(12)62148-5. Lancet. 2012. PMID: 23217859 No abstract available.
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