Skip to main page content
U.S. flag

An official website of the United States government

Dot gov

The .gov means it’s official.
Federal government websites often end in .gov or .mil. Before sharing sensitive information, make sure you’re on a federal government site.

Https

The site is secure.
The https:// ensures that you are connecting to the official website and that any information you provide is encrypted and transmitted securely.

Access keys NCBI Homepage MyNCBI Homepage Main Content Main Navigation
Editorial
. 2012 Jul 24;107(3):406-7.
doi: 10.1038/bjc.2012.97.

That the effects of smoking should be measured in pack-years: misconceptions 4

Editorial

That the effects of smoking should be measured in pack-years: misconceptions 4

J Peto. Br J Cancer. .

Abstract

Lung cancer incidence in smokers is roughly proportional to dose rate (cigarettes per day) but increases much more rapidly with duration of smoking. The assumption that the incidence rate is proportional to total lifetime dose (the product of dose rate and duration) has been known to be wrong for many years, but total dose in pack-years is still often included, either alone or together, with more fundamental parameters such as dose rate, in regression analysis of epidemiological data. This is mathematically unnecessary and scientifically unhelpful.

PubMed Disclaimer

Comment in

References

    1. Darby SC, Doll R (1990) Radiation and exposure rate. Nature 344: 824. - PubMed
    1. Doll R (1978) An epidemiological perspective of the biology of cancer. Cancer Res 38: 3573–3583 - PubMed
    1. Lubin JH, Caporaso N, Wichmann HE, Schaffrath-Rosario A, Alavanja MC (2007) Cigarette smoking and lung cancer: modeling effect modification of total exposure and intensity. Epidemiology 18: 639–648 - PubMed
    1. Moolgavkar SH, Dewanji A, Luebeck G (1989) Cigarette smoking and lung cancer: reanalysis of the British doctors’ data. J Natl Cancer Inst 81: 415–420 - PubMed
    1. Peto J (2011) That lung cancer incidence falls in ex-smokers: misconceptions 2. Br J Cancer 104: 389. - PMC - PubMed

Publication types