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. 2011 Jan;39(1):75-80.
doi: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2010.12.001. Epub 2011 Jan 13.

The Severe 5%: A Latent Class Analysis of the Externalizing Behavior Spectrum in the United States

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The Severe 5%: A Latent Class Analysis of the Externalizing Behavior Spectrum in the United States

Michael G Vaughn et al. J Crim Justice. 2011 Jan.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE: Criminological research consistently demonstrates that approximately 5% of study populations are comprised of pathological offenders who account for a preponderance of antisocial behavior and violent crime. Unfortunately, there have been no nationally representative epidemiological studies characterizing the severe 5% group. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data from the 2001-2002 National Epidemiologic Survey on Alcohol and Related Conditions (NESARC), a nationally representative sample of 43,093 non-institutionalized U.S. residents aged 18 years and older were analyzed using latent class analysis to assess sociodemographic, psychiatric, and behavioral characteristics. RESULTS: Four-classes of respondents were identified vis-à-vis lifetime externalizing behaviors. A normative class (66.1% of respondents) demonstrated little involvement in antisocial conduct. A low substance use/high antisocial behavior class (20.7% of respondents) and high substance use/moderate antisocial behavior (8.0% of respondents) class evinced diverse externalizing and psychiatric symptoms. Finally, a severe class (5.3% of respondents) was characterized by pathological involvement in more varied and intensive forms of antisocial and externalizing behaviors and extensive psychiatric disturbance. CONCLUSIONS: The current study is the first nationally representative epidemiological study of criminal careers/externalizing behavior spectrum in the United States and validates the existence of the 5% pathological group demonstrated by prior research.

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Conflict of interest statement

The authors report no conflicts of interest.

Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
Lifetime Prevalence of 34 Externalizing Behaviors (N = 43, 093).
Figure 2
Figure 2
BIC Values Across Latent Classes.
Figure 3
Figure 3
Entropy Values Across Latent Classes.
Figure 4
Figure 4
Trends in Log-Likelihood Values Across Latent Classes.
Figure 5
Figure 5
Probability of Four Latent Classes with and without Covariates.
Figure 6
Figure 6
Lifetime Prevalences of 34 Externalizing Behaviors Across 4 Latent Classes.

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