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Review
. 2012 Dec;160(4):1728-40.
doi: 10.1104/pp.112.206219. Epub 2012 Oct 5.

Evolutionary and ecological responses to anthropogenic climate change: update on anthropogenic climate change

Affiliations
Review

Evolutionary and ecological responses to anthropogenic climate change: update on anthropogenic climate change

Jill T Anderson et al. Plant Physiol. 2012 Dec.
No abstract available

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Figures

Figure 1.
Figure 1.
Climate change disrupts patterns of local adaptation (hypothesis 4). In this thought experiment, genotypes from three distinct elevations are reciprocally transplanted into gardens at each elevation. Under contemporary conditions (A), local genotypes have a fitness advantage at their home elevation, reflecting local adaptation. In contrast, future climatic conditions (B) result in local maladaptation, wherein novel conditions favor warm-adapted genotypes from lower elevations. In this case, the fitness of all genotypes is depressed at the lowest elevation. The pattern in B would be more complex if nonclimatic agents of selection, such as edaphic conditions, also contributed to local adaptation. In that case, recombinant genotypes from hybridization of local and lower elevation parents could exhibit maximum fitness in future climates (hypothesis 8). In the long run, rapid evolution could lead to adaptation to global change, restoring patterns of local adaptation. In both panels, local genotypes are represented by closed symbols.
Figure 2.
Figure 2.
Schematic of steps to test the adaptive potential of fragmented populations (hypothesis 9). In step 1, future studies should sample from populations that differ in size and geographic isolation, represented here by circles of varying sizes. Step 2 assesses genetic diversity at neutral loci as a function of effective population size and geographic isolation. This step is where most studies of the genetic ramifications of habitat fragmentation have stopped. In step 3, common garden experiments quantify fitness as well as genetic variation (VA) in multiple ecologically relevant traits. Statistical analyses should determine whether fitness and VA vary as a function of effective population size, geographic or genetic isolation, and (if known) the time since habitat fragmentation occurred. These analyses could incorporate population genetic data (step 2). Finally, in step 4, researchers expose genotypes to contemporary versus future conditions and quantify fitness components, VA, and predicted responses to selection. As in step 3, researchers could analyze fitness, VA, and other response variables as a function of population size and genetic isolation. The fitness consequences of climate change could be more severe in fragmented than in unfragmented populations.

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