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. 2013 Jan;52(1):35-41.
doi: 10.1016/j.jadohealth.2012.07.016. Epub 2012 Oct 15.

Increasing use of nonmedical analgesics among younger cohorts in the United States: a birth cohort effect

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Increasing use of nonmedical analgesics among younger cohorts in the United States: a birth cohort effect

Richard Miech et al. J Adolesc Health. 2013 Jan.

Abstract

Purpose: Nonmedical use of prescription pain drugs (hereafter "analgesics") has increased substantially in recent years. It is not known whether today's youth are disproportionately driving this increase or, instead, the trend is a general one that has affected cohorts of all ages similarly. To address this question we present the first age-period-cohort analysis of nonmedical use of analgesics.

Methods: Data come from the National Survey on Drug Use and Health, a series of annual, nationally representative, cross-sectional surveys of the US civilian, noninstitutionalized population. The analysis focuses on the years 1985-2009 and uses the recently developed "intrinsic estimator" algorithm to disentangle age-period-cohort effects.

Results: Substantial increases in the prevalence of nonmedical analgesics use (NAU) have occurred across all cohorts and ages in recent years, but this increase is significantly amplified among today's adolescents. The odds of past-year NAU for today's youngest cohort (born 1980-1994) are higher than would be expected on the basis of their age and broad, historical period influences that have increased use across people of all ages and cohorts. The independent influence of cohort on past-year NAU is about 40% higher for today's youth cohort than any of the cohorts that came before them. This finding is present among men, women, non-Hispanic whites, non-Hispanic blacks, and Hispanics.

Conclusions: Although nonmedical use of analgesics is evident among all ages, cohorts, and periods, today's younger cohorts warrant special attention for substance abuse policies and interventions targeted at reversing the increase in NAU.

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Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
Age, Period, and Cohort Effects for Past-Year, Nonmedical Analgesics Use for Men and Women, All Race/Ethnicity Groups Combined
Figure 2
Figure 2
Age, Period, and Cohort Effects for Past-Year, Nonmedical Analgesics Use by Race and Ethnicity * note: Analysis excludes Blacks age 60–64 (and as a consequence not enough Information Is available to estimate effects for the 1925–29 birth cohort) because model would not converge when they were Included In the analysis pool

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