Impact of nitrogen deposition at the species level

Abstract

In Europe and, increasingly, the rest of the world, the key policy tool for the control of air pollution is the critical load, a level of pollution below which there are no known significant harmful effects on the environment. Critical loads are used to map sensitive regions and habitats, permit individual polluting activities, and frame international negotiations on transboundary air pollution. Despite their fundamental importance in environmental science and policy, there has been no systematic attempt to verify a critical load with field survey data. Here, we use a large dataset of European grasslands along a gradient of nitrogen (N) deposition to show statistically significant declines in the abundance of species from the lowest level of N deposition at which it is possible to identify a change. Approximately 60% of species change points occur at or below the range of the currently established critical load. If this result is found more widely, the underlying principle of no harm in pollution policy may need to be modified to one of informed decisions on how much harm is acceptable. Our results highlight the importance of protecting currently unpolluted areas from new pollution sources, because we cannot rule out ecological impacts from even relatively small increases in reactive N deposition.

Fig. 1.

Species change points (purity > 99%, P < 0.05 in >99% bootstraps) showing 5% and 95% bootstrap percentiles; symbols are sized in proportion to z score. *Species that also show a change point at the equivalent position on the precipitation gradient.

Fig. 2.

Community change for species reduced in abundance [sum (z−)] showing critical load, inferred community threshold (dotted line at 14.2 kg N ha⁻¹ y⁻¹), and 5–95% bootstrap percentile range.