Relationship between cold temperature and cardiovascular mortality, with assessment of effect modification by individual characteristics: Ibaraki Prefectural Health Study

Abstract

Background: Cold temperature has been reported to contribute to cardiovascular mortality, but it is not clear which people are more susceptible to cold temperature.

Methods and results: The relationship between ambient temperature and mortality was examined in 3,593 subjects from the Ibaraki Prefectural Health Study who died of cardiovascular disease during a mean follow-up period of 9.7±4.0 years. Daily values of meteorological variables were obtained from the Japan Meteorological Agency. Time-stratified case cross-over analysis was used. The multivariate odds ratios (ORs; 95% confidence interval) per 1°C decrease in daily maximum temperature over the day of death and the 2 days prior to this day adjusted for relative humidity were 1.018 (1.003-1.034) for all cardiovascular deaths and 1.025 (1.003-1.048) for stroke deaths. Risk-stratified analysis showed that younger subjects aged <80 years and those with hyperglycemia were more susceptible to cold temperature. The OR of all cardiovascular deaths related to cold temperature was 1.034 (1.012-1.056) for subjects aged <80 years, and that of stroke deaths was 1.076 (1.023-1.131) for those with hyperglycemia.

Conclusions: Exposure to cold temperature triggers cardiovascular deaths. Additionally, younger age and hyperglycemia could enhance susceptibility to cold temperature.