The impossibility of separating age, period and cohort effects
- PMID: 23701919
- DOI: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2013.04.029
The impossibility of separating age, period and cohort effects
Abstract
This commentary discusses the age-period-cohort identification problem. It shows that, despite a plethora of proposed solutions in the literature, no model is able to solve the identification problem because the identification problem is inherent to the real-world processes being modelled. As such, we cast doubt on the conclusions of a number of papers, including one presented here (Page, Milner, Morrell, & Taylor, 2013). We conclude with some recommendations for those wanting to model age, period and cohort in a compelling way.
Keywords: Age–period–cohort models; Collinearity; Model identification.
Copyright © 2013 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Comment on
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The role of under-employment and unemployment in recent birth cohort effects in Australian suicide.Soc Sci Med. 2013 Sep;93:155-62. doi: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2013.03.039. Epub 2013 Apr 9. Soc Sci Med. 2013. PMID: 23619189
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