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Meta-Analysis
. 2013 Jun 21;2013(6):CD001991.
doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD001991.pub3.

Screening for lung cancer

Affiliations
Meta-Analysis

Screening for lung cancer

Renée Manser et al. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. .

Abstract

Background: This is an updated version of the original review published in The Cochrane Library in 1999 and updated in 2004 and 2010. Population-based screening for lung cancer has not been adopted in the majority of countries. However it is not clear whether sputum examinations, chest radiography or newer methods such as computed tomography (CT) are effective in reducing mortality from lung cancer.

Objectives: To determine whether screening for lung cancer, using regular sputum examinations, chest radiography or CT scanning of the chest, reduces lung cancer mortality.

Search methods: We searched electronic databases: the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL) (The Cochrane Library 2012, Issue 5), MEDLINE (1966 to 2012), PREMEDLINE and EMBASE (to 2012) and bibliographies. We handsearched the journal Lung Cancer (to 2000) and contacted experts in the field to identify published and unpublished trials.

Selection criteria: Controlled trials of screening for lung cancer using sputum examinations, chest radiography or chest CT.

Data collection and analysis: We performed an intention-to-screen analysis. Where there was significant statistical heterogeneity, we reported risk ratios (RRs) using the random-effects model. For other outcomes we used the fixed-effect model.

Main results: We included nine trials in the review (eight randomised controlled studies and one controlled trial) with a total of 453,965 subjects. In one large study that included both smokers and non-smokers comparing annual chest x-ray screening with usual care there was no reduction in lung cancer mortality (RR 0.99, 95% CI 0.91 to 1.07). In a meta-analysis of studies comparing different frequencies of chest x-ray screening, frequent screening with chest x-rays was associated with an 11% relative increase in mortality from lung cancer compared with less frequent screening (RR 1.11, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.23); however several of the trials included in this meta-analysis had potential methodological weaknesses. We observed a non-statistically significant trend to reduced mortality from lung cancer when screening with chest x-ray and sputum cytology was compared with chest x-ray alone (RR 0.88, 95% CI 0.74 to 1.03). There was one large methodologically rigorous trial in high-risk smokers and ex-smokers (those aged 55 to 74 years with ≥ 30 pack-years of smoking and who quit ≤ 15 years prior to entry if ex-smokers) comparing annual low-dose CT screening with annual chest x-ray screening; in this study the relative risk of death from lung cancer was significantly reduced in the low-dose CT group (RR 0.80, 95% CI 0.70 to 0.92).

Authors' conclusions: The current evidence does not support screening for lung cancer with chest radiography or sputum cytology. Annual low-dose CT screening is associated with a reduction in lung cancer mortality in high-risk smokers but further data are required on the cost effectiveness of screening and the relative harms and benefits of screening across a range of different risk groups and settings.

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Conflict of interest statement

None known. The authors of this review were not involved in any of the primary studies included in the review.

Figures

1
1
Risk of bias graph: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item presented as percentages across all included studies.
2
2
Risk of bias summary: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item for each included study.
1.1
1.1. Analysis
Comparison 1 Lung cancer screening with chest radiography +/‐ sputum cytology versus less intense screening, Outcome 1 Lung cancer mortality.
1.2
1.2. Analysis
Comparison 1 Lung cancer screening with chest radiography +/‐ sputum cytology versus less intense screening, Outcome 2 Lung cancer mortality (including prolonged follow‐up data).
1.3
1.3. Analysis
Comparison 1 Lung cancer screening with chest radiography +/‐ sputum cytology versus less intense screening, Outcome 3 All‐cause mortality.
1.4
1.4. Analysis
Comparison 1 Lung cancer screening with chest radiography +/‐ sputum cytology versus less intense screening, Outcome 4 Lung cancer 5‐year survival.
2.1
2.1. Analysis
Comparison 2 Annual chest x‐ray screening versus usual care (no regular screening), Outcome 1 Lung cancer mortality at 6 years of follow up.
2.2
2.2. Analysis
Comparison 2 Annual chest x‐ray screening versus usual care (no regular screening), Outcome 2 Lung cancer mortality at 13 years of follow up.
2.3
2.3. Analysis
Comparison 2 Annual chest x‐ray screening versus usual care (no regular screening), Outcome 3 Deaths from all causes (excluding deaths from PLCO cancers).
3.1
3.1. Analysis
Comparison 3 Annual low dose CT screening versus annual chest x‐ray, Outcome 1 Lung cancer mortality.
3.2
3.2. Analysis
Comparison 3 Annual low dose CT screening versus annual chest x‐ray, Outcome 2 All‐cause mortality.

Update of

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References to ongoing studies

DANTE {published data only}
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