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Comment
. 2013 Dec 3;110(49):19660-1.
doi: 10.1073/pnas.1319578110. Epub 2013 Nov 25.

Forecasting long-term gas production from shale

Affiliations
Comment

Forecasting long-term gas production from shale

Luis Cueto-Felgueroso et al. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. .
No abstract available

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Conflict of interest statement

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

Figures

Fig. 1.
Fig. 1.
Natural gas production in the United States, by source (in trillion cubic feet per year). Shown are historic data from 1990 to 2011 and projections for 2012 to 2040. Shale gas is expected to provide the largest source of growth in United States natural gas supply. From ref. .
Fig. 2.
Fig. 2.
The gas production rate predicted by Patzek et al.’s (8) mathematical model (solid black line) exhibits two distinct regimes: an early-time regime with a formula image gas rate decline, and a late-time regime with an exponential decline. Also shown is the scaled recovery rate for five wells from the Barnett Shale (orange lines). Adapted from ref. .

Comment on

References

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    1. US Energy Information Administration (2013) Annual Energy Outlook 2013 with Projections to 2040, Technical Report DOE/EIA-0383(2013). Available at www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/. Accessed November 1, 2013.
    1. International Energy Agency (2011) World Energy Outlook 2011. Are we Entering a Golden Age of Gas? Available at www.worldenergyoutlook.org/goldenageofgas/. Accessed November 1, 2013.
    1. Kerr RA. Energy. Natural gas from shale bursts onto the scene. Science. 2010;328(5986):1624–1626. - PubMed
    1. European Commission Joint Research Center (2012) Unconventional Gas: Potential Energy Market Impacts in the European Union. Available at http://ec.europa.eu/dgs/jrc/downloads/jrc_report_2012_09_unconventional_.... Accessed November 1, 2013.

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