Association between AKI and long-term renal and cardiovascular outcomes in United States veterans

Abstract

Background and objectives: AKI is associated with major adverse kidney events (MAKE): death, new dialysis, and worsened renal function. CKD (arising from worsened renal function) is associated with a higher risk of major adverse cardiac events (MACE): myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, and heart failure. Therefore, the study hypothesis was that veterans who develop AKI during hospitalization for an MI would be at higher risk of subsequent MACE and MAKE.

Design, setting, participants, & measurements: Patients in the Veterans Affairs (VA) database who had a discharge diagnosis with International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, code of 584.xx (AKI) or 410.xx (MI) and were admitted to a VA facility from October 1999 through December 2005 were selected for analysis. Three groups of patients were created on the basis of the index admission diagnosis and serum creatinine values: AKI, MI, or MI with AKI. Patients with mean baseline estimated GFR<45 ml/min per 1.73 m(2) were excluded. The primary outcomes assessed were mortality, MAKE, and MACE during the study period (maximum of 6 years). The combination of MAKE and MACE-major adverse renocardiovascular events (MARCE)-was also assessed.

Results: A total of 36,980 patients were available for analysis. Mean age±SD was 66.8±11.4 years. The most deaths occurred in the MI+AKI group (57.5%), and the fewest (32.3%) occurred in patients with an uncomplicated MI admission. In both the unadjusted and adjusted time-to-event analyses, patients with AKI and AKI+MI had worse MARCE outcomes than those who had MI alone (adjusted hazard ratios, 1.37 [95% confidence interval, 1.32 to 1.42] and 1.92 [1.86 to 1.99], respectively).

Conclusions: Veterans who develop AKI in the setting of MI have worse long-term outcomes than those with AKI or MI alone. Veterans with AKI alone have worse outcomes than those diagnosed with an MI in the absence of AKI.

Figure 1.

Patient flow into the study. Of the patients excluded, some had multiple criteria for exclusion. eGFR, estimated GFR; MI, myocardial infarction; SC, serum creatinine concentration.

Figure 2.

Kaplan–Meier event rate estimates over time, by diagnostic group. (A) Death. (B) Major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). (C) Major adverse kidney events (MAKE). (D) Major adverse renocardiovascular events (MARCE). The curves display the cumulative survival probability over time. The observation time started at the index admission, thus the follow-up time varied across patients. DX, diagnosis.

Figure 3.

Outcomes across diagnostic groups.