SpO2/FiO2 ratio on hospital admission is an indicator of early acute respiratory distress syndrome development among patients at risk

Abstract

Purpose: Oxygen saturation to fraction of inspired oxygen ratio (SpO(2)/FiO(2)) has been validated as a surrogate marker for partial pressure of oxygen to fraction of inspired oxygen ratio among mechanically ventilated patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). The validity of SpO(2)/FiO(2) measurements in predicting ARDS has not been studied. Recently, a Lung Injury Prediction Score (LIPS) has been developed to help identify patients at risk of developing ARDS.

Methods: This was a secondary analysis of the LIPS-1 cohort. A multivariate logistic regression included all established variables for LIPS, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation 2, age, and comorbid conditions that could affect SpO(2)/FiO(2). The primary outcome was development of ARDS in the hospital. The secondary outcomes included hospital mortality, hospital day of ARDS development, and hospital day of death.

Results: Of the 5584 patients, we evaluated all 4646 with recorded SpO(2)/FiO(2) values. Median SpO(2)/FiO(2) in those who did and did not develop ARDS was 254 (100, 438) and 452 (329, 467), respectively. There was a significant association between SpO(2)/FiO(2) and ARDS (P ≤ .001). The SpO(2)/FiO(2) was found to be an independent predictor of ARDS in a "dose-dependent" manner; for SpO(2)/FiO(2) < 100--odds ratios (OR) 2.49 (1.69-3.64, P < .001), for SpO(2)/FiO(2) 100 < 200--OR 1.75 (1.16-2.58, P = .007), and for SpO(2)/FiO(2) 200 < 300--OR 1.62 (1.06-2.42, P = .025). The discriminatory characteristics of the multivariable model and SpO2/FiO2 as a single variable demonstrated area under the curve (AUC) of 0.81 and AUC of 0.74, respectively.

Conclusions: The SpO2/FiO2, measured within the first 6 hours after hospital admission, is an independent indicator of ARDS development among patients at risk.

Keywords: ARDS; admission; oxygenation; prediction.