Growth differentiation factor-15 is a useful prognostic marker in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction

Abstract

Background: Circulating growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15) levels correlate with heart mass and fibrosis; however, little is known about its value in predicting the prognosis of patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF).

Methods: We measured serum GDF-15 levels in 149 consecutive patients with left ventricular diastolic dysfunction (LVDD) and normal LV ejection fraction (>50%) and followed them for cardiovascular events. LVDD was defined according to the European Society of Cardiology guidelines.

Results: The New York Heart Association functional class and circulating B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) levels were significantly higher in the high-GDF-15 group (n = 75; greater than or equal to the median value [3694 pg/mL]) than in the low-GDF-15 group (n = 74). Patients were divided into HFpEF and LVDD groups according to the presence or absence of HF. Serum GDF-15 levels were significantly higher in the HFpEF group (n = 73) than in the LVDD group (n = 76) (median, 4215 [interquartile range, 3382-5287] vs 3091 [interquartile range, 2487-4217 pg/mL]; P < 0.0001). Kaplan-Meier curve analysis showed a significantly higher probability of cardiovascular events in the high-GDF-15 group than in the low-GDF-15 group for data of all patients (log-rank test P = 0.006) and data of patients in the HFpEF group only (P = 0.014). Multivariate Cox hazard analysis identified age (hazard ratio [HR], 0.92; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.87-0.98; P = 0.008), atrial fibrillation (HR, 7.95; 95% CI, 1.98-31.85, P = 0.003), lnBNP (HR, 3.37; 95% CI, 1.73-6.55; P < 0.0001), and GDF-15 (ln[GDF-15]) (HR, 4.74; 95% CI, 1.26-17.88, P = 0.022) as independent predictors of primary end points.

Conclusions: GDF-15 is a potentially useful prognostic biomarker in patients with HFpEF.