Prediction of risk for pseudoallergic reactions and histamine release in patients undergoing anaesthesia and surgery: a computer-aided model using independence-Bayes

Abstract

A computer-aided model for the prediction of pseudoallergic reactions was developed using prospective data collected from 581 patients in a controlled clinical trial examining pseudoallergic reactions to the plasma substitute Haemaccel (outdated formulation). The multivariate analysis of 22 proposed risk factors was performed using Bayes theorem. This enabled the accurate prediction of 86% of the patients who had a systemic reaction. The clinical use of such system would enable a selection of patients to receive the effective prophylactic measure of pretreatment with H1 plus H2-receptor antagonists.