The prognostic significance of quantitative signal-averaged variables relative to clinical variables, site of myocardial infarction, ejection fraction and ventricular premature beats: a prospective study

Abstract

A prospective study was undertaken of the prognostic significance of quantitative signal-averaged electrocardiographic (ECG) variables relative to clinical variables, site of myocardial infarction, left ventricular ejection fraction and characteristics of ventricular premature beats in 115 patients (mean age 62 +/- 12 years) studied 10 +/- 6 days after myocardial infarction. Signal-averaged variables included the root mean square voltage of the terminal 40 ms, the duration of the filtered signal-averaged QRS complex and low amplitude signals less than 40 microV determined at 25 and 40 Hz high pass filtering in all patients. Of the 115 patients, 51 (44%) had an abnormal signal-averaged ECG (one or more abnormal signal-averaged variables), 51 (44%) at 25 Hz and 48 (42%) at 40 Hz high pass filtering. A higher proportion of patients with an inferior wall infarction had an abnormal signal-averaged ECG as compared with patients with anterior wall infarction (58% versus 31%). Over a 14 +/- 8 month follow-up period 16 patients (14%) had an arrhythmic event. An abnormal signal-averaged ECG at 40 Hz high pass filtering had a higher sensitivity (81% versus 75%) and specificity (65% versus 61%) than at 25 Hz high pass filtering. The predictive value of the signal-averaged ECG was superior to that of the ejection fraction (40% versus 20%) in anterior wall myocardial infarction, whereas in patients with inferior wall infarction, the predictive values of the two tests were equivalent. The prognostic power of 27 clinical and noninvasive variables was determined with the Cox proportional hazards regression model.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)