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. 2014 Feb;123(1):141-51.
doi: 10.1037/a0035670.

Longitudinal test of a developmental model of the transition to early drinking

Regan E Settles  1 , Tamika C B Zapolski  2 , Gregory T Smith  1
Affiliations

Longitudinal test of a developmental model of the transition to early drinking

Regan E Settles et al. J Abnorm Psychol. 2014 Feb.

Abstract

This article reports on a longitudinal test of a developmental model of early drinking that specifies transactions among personality, learning, and behavior in the risk process. The model was tested on 1,906 children making the transition from elementary school to middle school across 3 time points: the spring of 5th grade, the fall of 6th grade, and the spring of 6th grade. In a transaction that has been referred to as acquired preparedness, individual differences in the trait positive urgency at the end of 5th grade were associated with increases in expectancies for social facilitation from alcohol at the start of 6th grade, which then predicted drinker status at the end of 6th grade. In addition, the alcohol expectancy and drinker status predicted each other reciprocally across time. Multiple factors appear to transact to predict early drinking behavior.

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Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1
A depiction of the full model tested (model 3). For ease of presentation, cross-sectional associations and disturbance terms are not depicted, nor are age or sex, which were not predictive. Solid straight line arrows reflect pathways hypothesized in the model; all were significantly greater than zero with standardized weights. PSE= positive social facilitation expectancies. *p < .05; **p < .001; n = 1,906.
See this image and copyright information in PMC

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